Chance Gray headshot
#86
Ohio State
MATCHED_DATASETCGSTARTER

CHANCE GRAY

GUARD // OHIO STATE

#51 on the consensus board, with Guard framing the current projection out of Ohio State.

POSITION

CG

ROLE

Guard

HEIGHT

5'9"

WINGSPAN

--

AGE

21.7

ROUTE

Univ.

Best translated signals: EFG% // 3PR // TS%.

More fragile areas: BLK% // STL%.

STATS
RAPM+10.3
OFF+6.1
DEF+4.2
TS%59.0%

RAPM_TOTAL

+10.3

61 percentile

OFF_ADJ_PPP

+6.1

52 percentile

DEF_ADJ_PPP

+4.2

58 percentile

TS%

59.0%

77 percentile

3P%

40.5%

77 percentile

AST%

14.3%

26 percentile

PROFILE_CONTEXT

POSITION

CG

ROLE

Guard

TEAM

Ohio State

ROUTE

Univ.

AGE

21.7

HEIGHT

5'9"

WINGSPAN

--

HOMETOWN

Cincinnati, OH

MATCH_STATUS

Matched players render full percentile-driven analysis from draftballr_wnba.

ANALYSIS

STAT_MATRIX
PERCENTILE_VS_CLASS_AND_POSITION
Gray
Impact
RAPM
+10.3
61st
OffenseORAPM
ORAPM
+6.1
52nd
USG%
19.6%
48th
TS%
59.0%
77th
EFG%
55.8%
84th
3PR
52.0%
81st
3P%
40.5%
77th
FTR
17.3%
23rd
FT%
88.6%
84th
ORB%
1.2%
10th
RIM%
62.5%
77th
AST%
14.3%
26th
TO%
14.8%
74th
DefenseDRAPM
DRAPM
+4.2
58th
STL%
1.4%
3rd
BLK%
0.0%
50th
DRB%
7.2%
7th
GRAY: 2026WNBA_V1

WNBA_STAT_PROFILE

SCORING_ENGINE

How she creates value as a scorer and spacer.

OFF_ADJ_PPP

Shot creation and scoring lift.

52+6.1

TS%

Overall efficiency.

7759.0%

EFG%

Shot value efficiency.

8455.8%

RIM%

Finishing at the rim.

7762.5%

3P%

Outside shot making.

7740.5%

3PR

Three-point volume.

8152.0%

FTR

Free-throw pressure.

2317.3%

CREATION_CONTROL

Playmaking load, possession quality, and stability.

RAPM_TOTAL

Combined on-court impact signal.

61+10.3

AST%

Playmaking share.

2614.3%

TO%

Ball security.

7414.8%

DEFENSIVE_ACTIVITY

Disruption, contesting, and possession finishing.

DEF_ADJ_PPP

Defensive suppression and resistance.

58+4.2

STL%

Turnover creation.

31.4%

BLK%

Rim disruption.

00.0%

ORB%

Second-chance creation.

101.2%

DRB%

Possession finishing.

77.2%

WNBA percentiles are read directly from the matched draftballr_wnba percentile payload. Higher percentile is treated as better across the supported metric set.

GRAY_HOOP_EXPLORER

RAPM // NCAA_W

OFF_RAPM
ORAPM
96

4 Factor Impact

EFG%
95
TO_AVOID
93
ORB%
22
FT_DRAW
15

Shot Profile

RIM_FREQ
21
MID_FREQ
32
3P_FREQ
87

Shot Making

RIM%
94
2P%
80
3P%
97
AST%
59
DEF_RAPM
DRAPM
97

4 Factor Impact

OPP_EFG%
70
FORCE_TO
22
DENY_ORB
21
FOUL_DISC
100

Shot Deterrence

RIM_DETER
62
MID_DETER
39
3P_DETER
42

Shot Defense

RIM_PROTECT
30
OPP_2P%
80
OPP_3P%
23

These factors are regularized RAPM-style estimates of how the player moves her team's performance relative to league baseline when she's on the floor. ORAPM/DRAPM summarize overall offensive and defensive impact per 100 possessions; the sub-rows approximate impact on effective shooting, turnover margin, rebounding, and free-throw pressure, then unpack where shots come from (profile/deterrence) and how they are finished or contested (making/defense). The offensive components incorporate priors to stabilize estimates, while the defensive components are currently fit without priors.